Analysis

Grade inflation 2026 — which schools inflate the most?

5 April 2026 · Source: Swedish National Agency for Education open data, school year 2023/24

The Swedish term glädjebetyg (“happy grades”) refers to the gap between pupils’ national test results and their final grades. We have analysed 1516 primary schools where data for both merit rating and national tests in year 9 is available.

At 60% of independent schools, final grades exceed NP results, compared with 49% of municipal schools. At 12% of independent schools, the gap is more than a full grade step — versus 10% for municipal schools.

What is grade inflation?

National tests are marked according to central assessment guidelines and serve as an external reference point. Our inflation score compares the grade point per subject (merit rating / 17) with the NP average in Swedish, maths and English — both on the 0–20 scale where A=20, B=17.5, C=15, etc.

Share of schools with higher grades than NP

Independent schools

60%

have higher final grades than NP

12% with >1 grade step • 450 schools

Municipal schools

49%

have higher final grades than NP

10% with >1 grade step • 1066 schools

NP results vs final grades — all 1516 schools

Each dot is a school. Schools above the dashed line award higher grades than what the NP results suggest. Blue = independent, yellow = municipal.

88101012121414161618182020NP average (0–20)Grade points/subjectIndependentMunicipal

How do the elite schools compare?

Stockholm’s most sought-after schools often have high merit ratings. But how do they look when we compare with NP results?

SchoolMunicipalityInfl.NP avgGrade/subj
Campus ManillaStockholm0.717.017.7
Viktor Rydbergs skola SundbybergSundbyberg0.715.716.4
Carlssons skolaStockholm0.517.317.8
Viktor Rydbergs samskola DjursholmDanderyd-0.217.016.8
Viktor Rydbergs skola JarlaplanStockholm-0.217.016.8

A low inflation score at an elite school means the pupils perform just as well on national tests as their final grades suggest — the grades are well-earned.

The IES schools

Internationella Engelska Skolan (IES) operates 42 of the primary schools in our analysis. Average inflation score: -0.1. The table shows the 10 with the highest score.

Top 20 — schools with the highest inflation score

A high inflation score does not necessarily indicate cheating, but it indicates that the school awards grades that deviate markedly upwards from test results.

Top 10 — municipalities with the highest average inflation

#MunicipalityAvg inflationSchools
1Kumla1.33
2Söderhamn1.04
3Ystad0.94
4Landskrona0.810
5Botkyrka0.718
6Strömsund0.73
7Huddinge0.715
8Upplands Väsby0.79
9Mörbylånga0.74
10Sävsjö0.73

Conclusion

Grade inflation occurs across the entire school system, but the degree varies considerably between individual schools and municipalities. Independent schools as a group have somewhat higher inflation, but the spread within each group is greater than the difference between groups. Individual schools with high inflation scores warrant closer scrutiny, but the score alone is not proof — it should be seen as an indicator that calls for deeper analysis.

See the story about independent and municipal schools for more comparisons between school types.

Cite this analysis

Skolkoll (2026). Grade inflation 2026 — which schools inflate the most? skolkoll.se/en/analyses/gladjebetyg-2026/. Retrieved 2026-04-13.

More analyses

All visualizations · In-depth stories · Compare municipalities