Review

Warning signals 2026 — which schools have the most red flags?

4 April 2026 · Source: Swedish National Agency for Education open data, school year 2023/24

Skolkoll's warning signals identify schools that deviate negatively from the national average on key metrics such as teacher certification, pupil-teacher ratio, SALSA results and absence. Of Sweden's 7507 active schools, 1684 have at least one warning signal — and 0 have three or more.

Important: A warning signal is not the same as a bad school. It is an indicator that there are data points that deserve closer examination. Skolkoll is a data aggregator — we present data and let the reader draw their own conclusions.

How warning signals work

We calculate four types of signals based on official statistics:

  • Low teacher certification — the share of certified teachers is at least 1 standard deviation below the national average (774 schools)
  • High pupil-teacher ratio — more pupils per teacher than the national average + 1 standard deviation (739 schools)
  • SALSA underperformance — the merit score is at least 15 points lower than expected given pupil demographics (280 schools)
  • High absence — more than 10% of pupils have over 20% unauthorised absence (0 schools)

National overview

Flagged schools

1684

of 7507 total

109 with 2+ signals

Red level

821

schools with serious deviations

0 with 3+ signals

Of the flagged schools, 1125 are municipal and 559 are independent.

Top 20 — schools with the most warning signals

The list shows the 20 schools with the most concurrent warning signals. Note that the signals are based on the most recent available statistics and individual schools may have taken action since the measurement period.

Municipalities with the highest share of flagged schools

#MunicipalityFlagged schoolsShareOf which red
1Älvdalen4 of 580%3
2Nykvarn3 of 560%0
3Haninge24 of 4159%11
4Strömsund6 of 1155%5
5Nacka30 of 5951%22
6Österåker12 of 2450%8
7Ragunda3 of 650%3
8Vansbro4 of 850%1
9Burlöv7 of 1450%2
10Ånge5 of 1050%2
11Övertorneå3 of 650%2
12Täby24 of 4949%13
13Ludvika11 of 2348%7
14Pajala5 of 1145%3
15Upplands Väsby11 of 2544%6

The municipality ranking shows municipalities where at least 3 schools have warning signals, sorted by share. Rural municipalities with few schools tend to rank higher — a single school can give a high share.

Conclusion

Warning signals are a tool for identifying schools that may need more attention, not a verdict. Most schools in Sweden have no flags at all. But for the 1684 that do — especially the 0 with three or more signals — there is reason to look more closely. Search for and explore individual schools in detail via the search page.

Cite this analysis

Skolkoll (2026). Warning signals 2026. skolkoll.se/en/analyses/varningssignaler-2026/. Retrieved 2026-04-13.

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